Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 5 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Angola (-1.5) | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| Mauritania (-1.5) | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Angola (-2.5) | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Mauritania (-2.5) | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 88% YES | 12% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 18% YES | 83% NO |
Angola and Mauritania are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 5 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market currently prices additional betting markets for this fixture at 18% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting modest conviction that supplementary markets will be listed before the settlement window closes on 5 June at 19:00 UTC. The implied probability reflects the typical lag between fixture announcement and full market deployment on the platform.
Polymarket's historical pattern shows that friendlies between lower-ranked nations often receive limited market coverage compared to competitive qualifiers or major tournament matches. Angola (currently ranked 110th) and Mauritania (ranked 154th) fall outside the tier of nations that routinely attract multiple betting markets. The 18% probability sits below the baseline for friendlies involving higher-profile sides, where additional markets—such as exact score, player performance, or corner totals—typically launch within days of confirmation. This discount reflects both the reduced commercial interest in such fixtures and the operational prioritisation of higher-volume matchups.
Traders should monitor official FIFA and national federation announcements regarding squad confirmations and venue finalisation, which often trigger market expansion. The proximity of the settlement window to kick-off (approximately 16 hours) creates a compressed timeframe for market deployment. Recent precedent from lower-tier friendlies suggests that unless Angola or Mauritania are involved in concurrent competitive campaigns drawing media attention, supplementary markets may not materialise before the deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Angola vs. Mauritania - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $25K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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