Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, June 5, 2026 between Angola and Mauritania.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Angola | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Draw (Angola vs. Mauritania) | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Mauritania | 25% YES | 76% NO |
Angola and Mauritania are scheduled to contest a FIFA International Friendly on Friday, 5 June 2026. The match forms part of the fixture calendar ahead of the 2026 World Cup qualification cycle and represents a relatively low-stakes competitive encounter between two African nations with disparate recent form and ranking trajectories. The current order book on Polymarket prices Angola's victory at 45 per cent implied probability, reflecting modest confidence in the home side despite their higher FIFA ranking.
Historical matchups between these sides offer limited precedent for calibrating expectations. Angola holds a superior continental ranking and has competed more consistently in recent African Cup of Nations qualifications, whilst Mauritania has experienced greater volatility in results and squad stability. Comparable friendlies involving lower-ranked African nations typically see the higher-ranked side favoured, though margins narrow considerably when both teams field experimental or rotated squads—a common occurrence in June fixtures outside major tournament windows.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury bulletins from both federations in the weeks preceding the match, as friendly fixtures frequently see significant absences due to club commitments and player rotation policies. Fixture congestion in European leagues during early June may affect player availability for Angola, particularly if key contributors are involved in continental club competitions. Weather conditions in Angola on match day and any late venue changes would constitute material information, though such details typically emerge only days before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Angola vs. Mauritania" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $150K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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