Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Alexander Albon | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Fernando Alonso | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Kimi Antonelli | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Arvid Lindblad | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| George Russell | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Max Verstappen | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| placeholder D | — | |
The FIA Awards ceremony recognises outstanding individual performances across Formula 1 each season. The Action of the Year award specifically honours the most memorable on-track moment, voted by fans and media, and will be determined following the conclusion of the 2026 F1 season. The current order book on Polymarket prices this outcome at 3% implied probability, reflecting the substantial uncertainty inherent in predicting which single moment from a 24-race calendar will capture sufficient attention to win the award.
Historical precedent suggests the Action of the Year award typically recognises either a decisive overtake in a championship-deciding race, a recovery drive from an unusual starting position, or a technically exceptional manoeuvre under pressure. Past winners have included dramatic wet-weather performances and last-lap passes at major circuits. The 3% probability reflects the difficulty of forecasting which driver will deliver the standout moment, given the award's dependence on subjective voting rather than objective performance metrics like points or podium finishes.
Traders should monitor the 2026 season calendar and championship dynamics as they develop, particularly noting which drivers are competing for titles or fighting within midfield battles—contexts where memorable actions typically occur. The FIA Awards ceremony typically takes place in December, shortly after the season finale, providing clarity on the voting outcome. The settlement window extends through 13 December 2026, allowing time for the official announcement. Any significant rule changes, circuit modifications, or unexpected weather patterns during 2026 could influence the likelihood of memorable moments occurring.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "F1: Action of the Year" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9K in lifetime turnover and $16K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $28 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 2 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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