Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for May 8 at 1:00PM ET: If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to "Zalgiris Kaunas". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Zalgiris Kaunas and Fenerbahce are scheduled to meet in a Euroleague basketball fixture on 8 May 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price, with the implied probability sitting at 0% YES, indicating no traders have yet committed capital to either outcome. This absence of liquidity is typical for events scheduled months in advance, particularly those involving European basketball where US-based trading activity remains concentrated closer to tip-off.
Historically, Euroleague matchups between Lithuanian and Turkish clubs have favoured neither side uniformly; recent seasons show Fenerbahce holding a marginal edge in head-to-head records, though Zalgiris has demonstrated competitive strength at home. The 0% probability reflects the market's current state of indifference rather than a genuine assessment of Zalgiris's chances. As the fixture date approaches and trading activity accumulates, the order book will begin to price in team form, injury status, and playoff positioning—factors that typically drive significant repricing in the final weeks.
Traders should monitor Euroleague standings and team announcements through April and early May, particularly regarding roster changes or injuries to key players. Fenerbahce's squad depth and recent performance trajectory will be critical; similarly, Zalgiris's home-court advantage in Kaunas historically carries measurable weight. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on 8 May, allowing only hours post-game for final resolution. Any postponement would extend the market's duration, whilst outright cancellation without rescheduling would trigger a 50-50 split.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$177K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $162K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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