Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Crystal Palace FC and Everton FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Everton FC | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Crystal Palace FC | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| Draw (Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Crystal Palace and Everton will meet in a Premier League fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final result. The 40% implied probability on Polymarket's order book currently prices a Palace victory as a modest underdog outcome, reflecting the aggregate positioning of traders across the platform's liquidity pools.
Historically, these clubs have traded relatively evenly in head-to-head records, though recent form and league position carry substantial weight in Premier League betting markets. Palace's home-ground advantage at Selhurst Park typically shifts odds by 2–4 percentage points in their favour, whilst Everton's away record has been inconsistent in recent seasons. The current 40% probability sits between typical underdog and near-parity pricing, suggesting the market is pricing in competitive balance with a slight lean toward the away side or a draw. Comparable mid-table clashes in May often see tighter implied probabilities as both teams' final-day positioning becomes clearer.
Traders should monitor team news through April and early May, particularly injury updates to key players and any late-season managerial changes. League position and European qualification scenarios may influence team selection and motivation, especially if either side is competing for European spots or battling relegation. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season could affect squad rotation decisions. Recent form in April matches will provide the most reliable signal for adjusting positions before settlement on 10 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$105K in lifetime turnover and $3.2M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $95K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: