Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between National Bank of Egypt Club and Modern SC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| National Bank of Egypt Club | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Modern SC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Modern SC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
National Bank of Egypt Club will face Modern SC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on Sunday, 3 May 2026. The match represents a standard league encounter in Egypt's top division, with settlement contingent on the final result at the close of play. Current pricing on Polymarket's order book reflects a 100% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting either extreme confidence in a particular result or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful two-sided market.
Egyptian Premier League outcomes have historically shown volatility driven by squad availability, managerial changes, and domestic fixture congestion. National Bank of Egypt Club and Modern SC occupy different positions within the league hierarchy; comparative form across the 2025–26 season, injury reports, and recent head-to-head records provide the baseline for assessing whether current pricing reflects genuine certainty or market thinness. Previous seasons demonstrate that late-season Egyptian Premier League matches frequently produce unexpected results, particularly when teams face competing domestic cup obligations or fixture pile-up.
Traders should monitor squad news and team announcements through early May, particularly regarding player availability and confirmed lineups released closer to match day. The settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on 3 May, allowing only match-day confirmation of the final score. The absence of competing bids on the order book suggests this market may lack depth; any new liquidity or information flow regarding team selection could materially shift pricing before the fixture concludes.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Modern SC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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