Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for Thursday, May 7, 2026 between Haras El Hodood SC and ZED FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Haras El Hodood SC | 19% YES | 82% NO |
| Draw (Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC) | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| ZED FC | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Haras El Hodood SC will face ZED FC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on Thursday, 7 May 2026. The 46% implied probability for a Haras El Hodood victory reflects a competitive matchup between two sides with contrasting trajectories in Egypt's top division. ZED FC has emerged as a competitive force in recent seasons, whilst Haras El Hodood, the military-backed club, maintains institutional resources but has experienced inconsistent league performances.
Historical context suggests that home advantage carries material weight in Egyptian Premier League encounters, particularly for clubs with established supporter bases. Haras El Hodood's record at their home ground has typically outperformed their away form, though ZED FC's recent expansion into the league has disrupted traditional hierarchies. Comparable fixtures between established and rising clubs in the EPL have shown probabilities in the 40–55% range for the traditionally stronger side, aligning with current market pricing.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injury status and squad availability in the week preceding the match, as the Egyptian Premier League's fixture congestion often affects player fitness. Managerial decisions on lineup composition and tactical approach will become clearer as Thursday approaches. Weather conditions in Cairo during early May typically favour open, attacking football, which could influence both sides' strategic preparation. Any official announcements regarding venue changes or fixture postponements would constitute material shifts in settlement conditions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Haras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$118K in lifetime turnover and $47K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $106K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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