Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between El Ittihad SC El Iskandary and Tala'ea El Gaish SC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| El Ittihad SC El Iskandary | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| Draw | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC | 22% YES | 78% NO |
El Ittihad SC El Iskandary will face Tala'ea El Gaish SC in an Egyptian Premier League match on 13 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket prices an El Ittihad halftime victory at 26% implied probability, suggesting the market favours either a draw or an away win in the opening half.
Egyptian Premier League halftime markets typically reflect the attacking profiles and defensive solidity of competing sides. El Ittihad El Iskandary, based in Alexandria, has historically shown variable first-half performance depending on squad composition and fixture congestion. Tala'ea El Gaish, the military-backed Cairo club, often adopts a structured defensive approach early in matches. Historical halftime results in Egyptian football demonstrate that away teams frequently remain compact in the first 45 minutes, which would support the current probability weighting against a home halftime lead.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official squad announcements in the days preceding the fixture, particularly regarding injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel. The timing of the match—13 May 2026—falls late in the Egyptian domestic season, when fixture congestion and fatigue levels become material factors. Recent form data from both clubs' final league matches and any cup commitments in early May will inform whether either side enters the fixture with momentum or accumulated tiredness. Confirmation of starting lineups approximately one hour before kickoff will be the final catalyst affecting order book positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "El Ittihad SC El Iskandary vs. Tala'ea El Gaish SC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: