Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between Silkeborg IF and FC København, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Silkeborg IF vs. FC København match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Silkeborg IF will face FC København in a Denmark Superliga fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment that the listed exact-score outcomes carry negligible likelihood, with traders pricing in a high probability that the match resolves to "Any Other Score" instead. This pricing structure is typical for exact-score markets in football, where the combinatorial nature of possible results—even in a relatively constrained league like the Superliga—distributes probability mass across dozens of potential outcomes.
Historical precedent from European football leagues shows exact-score markets rarely concentrate significant probability on any single result. In Superliga matches, the most common scorelines (1–1, 2–1, 1–0) typically command 8–15% implied probability each when explicitly listed, with tail outcomes receiving substantially less. The current 0% reading suggests either that the specific scorelines offered here have been historically uncommon in Silkeborg–København fixtures, or that the order book has not yet accumulated sufficient liquidity to establish meaningful prices on any individual outcome.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries and squad availability in the weeks preceding the match, as these factors materially affect goal-scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in late April and early May—particularly if either side contests European competitions—could influence tactical approach and fatigue levels. Recent form data and head-to-head records between these sides will become increasingly relevant as the match date approaches and liquidity potentially shifts across the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://superligaen.dk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$150 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://superligaen.dk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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