Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Czechia Fortuna Liga game, scheduled for May 10 at 12:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Jablonec (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FK Jablonec (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FK Jablonec and FC Hradec Králové are scheduled to meet on 10 May 2026 in the Czechia Fortuna Liga, with kick-off at 12:30 PM ET. This fixture represents a mid-table encounter in the Czech top division, where both clubs typically compete outside the traditional title-contending bracket occupied by Slavia Prague and Viktoria Plzeň. The settlement window closes at 16:30 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for final order-book activity before resolution.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either a binary outcome market with limited liquidity or a specific sub-market condition (such as a particular player appearance or team statistic) where current bids have collapsed. Czech Fortuna Liga fixtures between mid-table sides historically show tight spreads in pre-match trading; comparable encounters between Jablonec and Hradec Králové over the past three seasons have produced mixed results, with neither club establishing consistent dominance. The absence of any bid-ask spread suggests either no active market-maker presence or a settlement criterion that traders currently view as highly unlikely.
Traders should monitor team news releases and injury reports through early May, particularly regarding squad availability for either side. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Czech season may affect rotation decisions. Weather conditions at Jablonec's stadium and any late fixture postponements would trigger market adjustments; such announcements typically emerge 48–72 hours before kick-off through official Fortuna Liga channels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Jablonec vs. FC Hradec Králové - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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