Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Pakistan and Zimbabwe scheduled for May 12 2026 in T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe | 96% YES | 5% NO |
| T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe - Who wins the toss? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe - Completed match? | 91% YES | 10% NO |
Pakistan's women's cricket team will face Zimbabwe in a T20 match on 12 May 2026 as part of a bilateral series. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 96% implied probability of a Pakistan victory, indicating strong market confidence in the favourites. This probability has been formed through standard order-book dynamics, with traders pricing in Pakistan's superior ranking and recent performance metrics against lower-ranked opposition.
Pakistan's women's team has consistently outperformed Zimbabwe in T20 cricket, with a significant gap in ICC rankings and match records. Historical head-to-head data shows Pakistan winning the majority of encounters against Zimbabwe, which provides empirical grounding for the elevated probability. However, T20 cricket remains inherently volatile—any single match can produce unexpected results due to weather conditions, pitch behaviour, or individual performances on the day.
Key variables for traders to monitor include team announcements regarding squad composition and player availability, which typically emerge in the week preceding the match. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground will influence batting and bowling dynamics; pitch reports from local sources and weather forecasts should be tracked as the match date approaches. Any late withdrawals or injury updates could shift the probability, particularly if Pakistan loses key players. The settlement window closes on 19 May 2026, providing a clear deadline for resolution based on the final result published by ESPNcricinfo.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$760 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $606 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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