Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Hong Kong, China and Bahrain scheduled for 2026-05-31 in T20 Asian Games, Qualifier. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Hong Kong, China will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Hong Kong, China. The outcome corresponding to Bahrain will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Bahrain.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Odds will populate live once the order book fills with 5 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| HON2 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| BHR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 Asian Games Qualifier between Hong Kong and Bahrain on 31 May 2026 will determine which team's top individual batter records the highest single score in the match. This market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Hong Kong, China, indicating the order book is pricing an overwhelming expectation that a Hong Kong player will outscore all Bahrain batters. The settlement window closes on 8 June 2026, allowing time for final match statistics to be confirmed on ESPNCricinfo.
Hong Kong has established itself as a competitive T20 cricket nation in regional tournaments, with consistent batting depth across their squad. Bahrain's participation in Asian Games qualifiers represents a developing cricket programme with less established international T20 track record. Historical patterns in similar regional qualifiers show that teams with stronger domestic infrastructure typically produce higher individual scores, though weather conditions, pitch characteristics, and specific match situations create variance in any single fixture.
Traders should monitor team selection announcements and recent form data as the match approaches. Injury updates to key batters from either side could shift the probability, particularly if Hong Kong loses a premium batter. The actual pitch conditions at the venue and toss outcome on match day will influence batting conditions materially. Current squad composition and recent T20 performance metrics from both teams' latest international fixtures will provide concrete data points for reassessing the 100% probability before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 8 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.espncricinfo.com/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain - Team Top Batter", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($0 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain - Team Top Batter", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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