Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Hong Kong, China and Thailand scheduled for 2026-05-25 in T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Hong Kong, China will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Hong Kong, China. The outcome corresponding to Thailand will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Thailand.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Odds will populate live once the order book fills (the resolution date has passed — final payout is being settled via UMA oracle).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| HON | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| THA | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 Asian Games Women's Qualifier match between Hong Kong, China and Thailand on 25 May 2026 will determine which team's leading batter records the highest individual score. This market settles based on ESPN Cricinfo's final match statistics, with resolution occurring if one team's player exclusively holds the tournament's top individual score in that fixture. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity and suggests either extremely thin liquidity or a structural imbalance in how traders are pricing this outcome relative to its actual likelihood.
Historical context from women's T20 qualifiers shows that top-order batters from more established cricket nations typically dominate individual scoring metrics, though upsets occur when lower-ranked teams field experienced domestic players. Hong Kong, China has developed women's cricket infrastructure over the past decade, whilst Thailand's participation in regional T20 events remains comparatively limited. The absence of recent head-to-head records between these specific squads makes comparative analysis challenging, though both nations' recent performances in Asian qualifying rounds suggest competitive but uneven matchups.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and player availability in the weeks preceding 25 May, as injuries or late withdrawals could significantly alter batting depth and scoring patterns. ESPN Cricinfo's live coverage and post-match statistical validation will be critical for settlement verification. The settlement window closing on 2 June allows minimal buffer for statistical disputes, making early confirmation of final scorecards essential for position management.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 2 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.espncricinfo.com/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Thailand - Team Top Batter", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($0 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
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The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Thailand - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Thailand - Team Top Batter", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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