Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Cyprus and Croatia scheduled for 2026-04-25 in T20 Series Cyprus vs Croatia, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Cyprus will be considered correct if Cyprus is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Croatia.The outcome corresponding to Croatia will be considered correct if Croatia is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Cyprus. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CYP | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| HRV | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Cyprus and Croatia will contest a women's T20 match on 25 April 2026 in the T20 Series Cyprus vs Croatia. This market settles on which team strikes more sixes during the fixture, with resolution determined by ESPN Cricinfo's official match statistics. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Cyprus hitting more sixes, suggesting the market is pricing an expectation that either Croatia will out-hit Cyprus or the teams will record an equal number of sixes.
Women's T20 cricket has seen considerable variation in six-hitting rates across different teams and conditions. Cyprus and Croatia both compete at associate level within ICC structures, with limited recent head-to-head data available. Historical patterns in women's T20 matches at this competitive tier typically show six counts ranging from single digits to low double figures per innings, heavily dependent on pitch characteristics, bowling quality, and batting aggression. The 0% probability on Cyprus suggests the market has formed a view based on relative squad strength, recent form data, or perceived batting depth favouring Croatia.
Key variables affecting the outcome include ground conditions at the scheduled venue, which influence boundary dimensions and ball behaviour, alongside team composition announcements closer to match day. Weather conditions on 25 April will impact ball movement and outfield pace. Traders should monitor any squad news or recent warm-up match statistics from either team, though such information remains sparse for associate-level women's cricket. The settlement window closes 2 May 2026, allowing time for official statistics to be published and verified on ESPN Cricinfo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Cyprus vs Croatia, Women: Cyprus vs Croatia - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$856 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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