Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Peshawar Zalmi and Hyderabad Kingsmen scheduled for 2026-05-03 in Pakistan Super League. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Peshawar Zalmi will be considered correct if Peshawar Zalmi is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Hyderabad Kingsmen will be considered correct if Hyderabad Kingsmen is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| PES | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| HYD | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Peshawar Zalmi will face Hyderabad Kingsmen in a Pakistan Super League fixture on 3 May 2026, with this market requiring both a toss win and match victory for either side to settle affirmatively. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in an expectation that one of these conditions—most likely Peshawar Zalmi's combined success—is near-certain. This extreme probability typically emerges when market participants perceive asymmetric information or when liquidity is constrained, leaving the spread wide and the midpoint skewed.
Historically, combined toss-and-match markets in cricket carry inherent volatility because they require two independent events to align. Toss outcomes approximate 50-50 propositions, whilst match results depend on team form, pitch conditions, and player availability. Markets pricing either outcome at extreme probabilities (near 0% or 100%) often reflect either genuine conviction about team strength or thin order books struggling to find counterparties. PSL fixtures between comparable mid-table sides typically settle with more balanced odds unless one team carries substantial recent momentum.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad injuries or roster changes before 3 May, as these directly influence match-outcome expectations. Pitch reports from the scheduled venue and recent head-to-head records between these franchises will clarify whether the current pricing reflects genuine predictive confidence or simply low trading volume. The settlement window closing on 10 May allows five days post-match for official results to be published on ESPNcricinfo, the designated resolution source.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Toss Match Double" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$372 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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