Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad scheduled for 2026-04-25 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Rajasthan Royals will be considered correct if Rajasthan Royals is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Sunrisers Hyderabad will be considered correct if Sunrisers Hyderabad is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| RAJ | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SUN | 100% YES | 0% NO |
On 25 April 2026, Rajasthan Royals will face Sunrisers Hyderabad in an IPL fixture. This market requires both the toss outcome and match result to align with a single team for settlement. Rajasthan Royals resolves YES only if they win the coin toss and subsequently win the match; Sunrisers Hyderabad resolves YES under the same dual-outcome condition. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects no active bids for either outcome, suggesting minimal liquidity or positioning ahead of the fixture.
Historically, combined toss-and-result markets in cricket show that toss outcomes carry roughly 50% probability, whilst match-win probability varies by team strength, venue, and conditions. The compounding effect—requiring both events to occur for a single team—typically depresses any individual outcome's probability below either component alone. IPL fixtures between these franchises have shown competitive matchups; neither team has dominated the head-to-head record decisively enough to skew toss-dependent probabilities materially.
Key variables for traders include team composition announcements, injury updates, and venue conditions closer to match day. Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad typically release playing XI confirmations 30 minutes before the scheduled start. Weather forecasts for the venue will influence both toss strategy and match outcome likelihood. Settlement depends entirely on official ESPN Cricinfo records, with the window closing 25 April at 10:00 UTC, allowing traders approximately 48 hours post-match for final confirmation before resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Toss Match Double" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: