Trade: CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chile Primera game between CD La Serena and CSD Colo-Colo, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $211
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Market context
CD La Serena travel to face CSD Colo-Colo in Chile's Primera División on 30 May 2026. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 49% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, reflecting the fragmentation of probability mass across multiple discrete scorelines. Colo-Colo, historically the stronger side, typically command favourability in fixture odds, though exact-score markets distribute conviction thinly—even the most probable single result rarely exceeds 15–20% individually.
La Serena finished the 2025 campaign in mid-table, whilst Colo-Colo secured a top-four finish and continental qualification. Head-to-head records favour Colo-Colo in both frequency of victory and goal differential, with recent encounters typically settling between 1–0 and 2–1 margins. Exact-score probabilities in Chilean football have historically clustered around low-scoring outcomes (0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–1), which account for roughly 60–70% of all matches in the league over recent seasons.
Traders should monitor team news through late May, particularly injury status for either side's key attacking or defensive personnel. Colo-Colo's continental commitments in the weeks prior may affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Weather conditions at La Serena's coastal venue can influence play style and goal frequency. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day; any postponement would extend the market's duration, creating timing risk for positions held through the scheduled date.
Wikipedia Context
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CD LaredoClub Deportivo Laredo is a Spanish football team based in Laredo, in the autonomous community of Cantabria. Founded in 1918, it plays in Tercera Federación – Group 3, holding home matches at Campo de Fútbol San Lorenzo, which has a capacity of 2,500.
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CD LaudioClub Deportivo Laudio de Fútbol San Rokezar is a Spanish football team based in Laudio/Llodio, in the autonomous community of Basque Country. Founded in 1927 it plays in División de Honor, holding home matches at Estadio Ellakuri, which has a capacity of 3.500 spectators.
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CD La UniónClub Deportivo La Unión was a Spanish football team based in La Unión, Murcia. Founded in 1941, refounded in 2000 and dissolved in 2011, it played its last season in Tercera División – Group 13, holding home games at Polideportivo Municipal de La Unión, with a capacity for 2,000 spectators.
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CD Laguna (Valladolid)Club Deportivo Laguna is a Spanish football team based in Laguna de Duero, in the autonomous community of Castile and León. Founded in 1963, it plays in Primera Regional – Group B, holding home matches at Estadio Municipal La Laguna, with a capacity of 2,500 people.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $211 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "CD La Serena vs. CSD Colo-Colo - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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