Trade: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 23, 2026 between Dalian Yingbo FC and Chengdu Rongcheng FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Dalian Yingbo FC | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| Draw (Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC) | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 34% YES | 66% NO |
Market context
Dalian Yingbo FC will face Chengdu Rongcheng FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on Saturday, 23 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 37% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting the market perceives this as a relatively unlikely result given the settlement window closes at midday on match day.
Chinese Super League form and head-to-head records provide context for interpreting this probability. Dalian Yingbo has undergone significant restructuring in recent seasons, whilst Chengdu Rongcheng has shown variable consistency. Historical matchups between these sides, along with their respective league positions and recent run of results in the 2026 season, will inform whether the current 37% pricing reflects genuine underlying strength differentials or potential mispricing. Comparable fixtures involving newly restructured clubs often see wider probability ranges as market participants weigh incomplete information about squad cohesion and tactical stability.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official league announcements regarding squad availability, injuries, and any last-minute tactical changes in the fortnight leading to kick-off. Weather conditions in Dalian on match day and any fixture congestion affecting either side's preparation schedule could shift the probability. Recent Chinese Super League coverage from outlets including Sina Sports and the official CSL website should be tracked for updates on form, managerial decisions, and player availability that might justify movement away from the current 37% mark.
Wikipedia Context
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Dalian Yingbo F.C.Dalian Yingbo Football Club, currently known as Dalian Yingbo Ocean Development for sponsorship reasons, is a Chinese professional football club based in Dalian, Liaoning, that competes in the Chinese Super League, the top tier of Chinese football. Dalian Yingbo plays its home matches at the Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, located within Ganjingzi District
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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