Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Qingdao Hainiu FC, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC will face Qingdao Hainiu FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on 30 May 2026. The match resolves on the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. Current order book activity on Polymarket implies a 49% probability for the exact score outcome, suggesting meaningful uncertainty across the listed scorelines and a material tail risk that the result falls outside pre-specified options, settling to "Any Other Score."
Chinese Super League matches between mid-table and lower-tier sides typically produce a wide distribution of outcomes. Historical fixture data between comparable clubs shows that exact score predictions rarely exceed 15–20% individual probability for any single scoreline, which contextualises why the aggregate YES probability sits near 50%. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Qingdao Hainiu have exhibited inconsistent form in recent seasons, with both clubs experiencing squad turnover and managerial changes that complicate pattern recognition from prior encounters.
Traders should monitor team news through late May, including injury confirmations and any last-minute squad adjustments that could shift expected goal-scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in the Chinese Super League calendar occasionally forces schedule changes; confirmation that the match proceeds as scheduled on 30 May remains material. Recent league standings and recent form sheets for both sides will clarify whether either club enters the match with tactical adjustments or personnel constraints that might influence scoring likelihood.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $223 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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