Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Xihaian FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Qingdao Xihaian FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Qingdao Xihaian FC will host Wuhan San Zhen FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on 10 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting near-certainty amongst traders on the platform. This extreme probability typically emerges when one side of a binary market has accumulated substantial backing, though such readings warrant scrutiny given the settlement window closes at 09:30 UTC on match day—approximately four hours before the 10:30 UTC kick-off.
Chinese Super League halftime markets have historically shown volatility in the final hours before matches, particularly when team news or lineup confirmations emerge. Comparable fixtures in 2024 and 2025 saw implied probabilities shift 15–25 percentage points in the 90 minutes preceding kick-off, driven by injury announcements or tactical adjustments disclosed by clubs. Neither Qingdao Xihaian nor Wuhan San Zhen has published official pre-match statements as of late April 2026, and squad availability remains a material variable.
Traders should monitor official league communications and club social media channels for starting XI announcements, which typically arrive 24–48 hours before matches. Weather conditions at Qingdao's stadium and recent form—Qingdao's home record and Wuhan's away performance in April—will influence early-game tempo and pressing intensity. The current 100% reading suggests minimal liquidity on alternative outcomes; order book depth should be examined before committing capital.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$411 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: