Trade: Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Qingdao Hainiu FC and Yunnan Yukun FC, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $700
- Total Volume
- $5
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $5
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 14% YES | 87% NO |
Market context
Qingdao Hainiu FC and Yunnan Yukun FC will meet in the Chinese Super League on 26 June 2026. This market resolves on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty outcomes. The current 10% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the combined likelihood of a specific scoreline materialising, with the remaining 90% distributed across alternative outcomes and "Any Other Score." Exact-score markets in football typically concentrate probability mass on the most common results—draws at 0–0, 1–1, or 2–2, and narrow victories at 1–0 or 2–1—whilst rarer scorelines trade at minimal odds.
Chinese Super League fixtures between mid-table sides historically produce moderate goal totals. Qingdao Hainiu and Yunnan Yukun are not among the league's elite attacking units, suggesting lower-scoring outcomes carry elevated probability relative to high-scoring draws or victories. Recent CSL seasons have shown defensive solidity across most clubs, with 0–0 and 1–0 results accounting for roughly 25–30% of matches combined. The exact scoreline priced at 10% on the order book likely reflects either a specific common result or a less probable outcome depending on which score the market is tracking.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports through late June, particularly goalkeeper availability and key defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the CSL's compressed schedule may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in Qingdao on match day and any last-minute tactical adjustments announced by either manager could shift expected goal distribution. Settlement closes immediately after the final whistle, so live score feeds and official CSL confirmation will determine resolution.
Wikipedia Context
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Qingdao Hainiu F.C.Qingdao Hainiu Football Club is a Chinese professional football club based in Qingdao, Shandong, that competes in the Chinese Super League, the top tier of Chinese football. Qingdao Hainiu plays its home matches at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, located within Chengyang District. Their current owners are the privately owned cable manufacturers Qingdao J
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Qingdao Hailifeng F.C.Qingdao Hailifeng F.C., previously named Qingdao JVC Zhengyi, Qingdao Benda and Hefei Chuangyi was a former professional association football club in the Chinese Football Association Jia League. The club was engaged in "bribery and private business dealing" in matches held in 2007 and 2009 and was banned from all future national matches organised by the Chin
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Qingdao Haili HelicoptersQingdao Haili Helicopters is a Chinese aircraft manufacturer. The organization was formed in 2007 to acquire the American helicopter company Brantly International, and manufacture the Brantly B-2 series of helicopters. The company later developed an unmanned version of the Brantly design developed with Weifang Tianxiang Aerospace Industry that was first flo
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$5 in lifetime turnover and $700 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 26 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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