Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between FC Augsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw (FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Augsburg | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Augsburg will host Borussia Mönchengladbach in a Bundesliga fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The settlement window closes at 13:30 UTC on that date, capturing the final match outcome. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a YES resolution, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong consensus against the event condition as presently framed.
Bundesliga matches between these clubs historically produce competitive results. Augsburg finished 2024–25 in mid-table, whilst Mönchengladbach has alternated between European qualification contention and lower mid-table finishes across recent seasons. The 0% implied probability suggests traders are either pricing in an extremely unlikely outcome or the market lacks sufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price. Comparable low-probability Bundesliga markets typically see movement only when injury news, suspension announcements, or late-season form shifts alter expected lineups materially.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the fixture, particularly regarding key player availability and tactical adjustments. Mönchengladbach's injury list and Augsburg's recent form trajectory will influence pre-match positioning. Weather conditions at the WWk-Arena and any fixture rescheduling announcements—though unlikely this late in the season—could affect settlement timing. The absence of current trading volume suggests the market may activate only if external catalysts shift baseline expectations significantly.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$664K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $658K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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