Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for June 28 at 5:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SC Recife (-2.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Fortaleza EC (-1.5) | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| SC Recife (-1.5) | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Fortaleza EC (-2.5) | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Fortaleza EC and SC Recife will meet on 28 June 2026 in a Brazil Serie B fixture, with kickoff scheduled for 17:30 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating near-parity between traders expecting additional markets to be listed and those betting against further expansion of the market suite for this match.
Historical precedent suggests that fixture liquidity and trader interest in lower-tier Brazilian football varies considerably. Serie B matches involving established clubs like Fortaleza—which has competed in the top division and maintains a substantial supporter base—typically attract broader market coverage than matches between smaller regional sides. The current probability reflects uncertainty about whether this particular fixture will warrant the depth of derivative markets that accompany higher-profile encounters. Comparable matches from the 2024–2025 season show that markets expand most readily when teams carry playoff implications or significant regional rivalry weight.
Traders should monitor official CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) fixture confirmations and any late team news affecting squad availability, as these factors influence whether sportsbooks and prediction platforms commit resources to additional market creation. The settlement window closes at 21:30 UTC on 28 June, allowing roughly four hours post-match for market operators to determine whether supplementary markets materialised. Current order book depth suggests moderate conviction on both sides, with no dominant positioning evident.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Fortaleza EC vs. SC Recife - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $432 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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