Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between AC Goianiense and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Goianiense vs. São Bernardo FC match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
AC Goianiense will face São Bernardo FC in a Brazil Serie B fixture on 24 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 48% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting meaningful uncertainty around whether the match will conclude with one of the explicitly listed scorelines rather than resolving to "Any Other Score." This probability distribution reflects the inherent difficulty in forecasting precise match outcomes in lower-tier Brazilian football, where defensive organisation and tactical discipline vary considerably between clubs.
Historical data on Serie B matches indicates that exact-score markets typically see YES probabilities cluster between 40–55% when the listed outcomes represent common results like 1–0, 2–1, or 1–1 finishes. AC Goianiense, a club with previous top-division experience, generally commands stronger possession and shot volume than mid-table Serie B sides, though consistency remains variable. São Bernardo FC's defensive record and set-piece vulnerability will be material factors; teams conceding frequently tend to produce scorelines outside standard ranges. The 48% reading suggests traders currently assess a near-even split between the listed outcomes materialising and an atypical result occurring.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the week preceding the match, particularly injury status of key attacking or defensive personnel. Recent Serie B scheduling has occasionally seen fixture congestion affect match intensity and tactical approach. Weather conditions on match day—rainfall particularly impacts Brazilian pitches—can shift expected goal distributions. No major announcements regarding venue changes or postponements have been reported as of the current settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AC Goianiense vs. São Bernardo FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $301 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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