Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for May 31 at 5:15 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Club The Strongest (-1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Club Bolívar (-1.5) | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Club The Strongest (-2.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Club Bolívar (-2.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
Club The Strongest will face Club Bolívar on 31 May at 5:15 PM ET in a fixture from Bolivia's Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviano (LFPB). The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting moderate conviction among traders that additional betting markets will be offered for this particular match. This probability is being formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where the spread between bid and ask prices indicates the level of liquidity and disagreement amongst participants about the likelihood of expanded market offerings.
Historically, fixture-specific market expansion on prediction platforms correlates with match prominence, fixture timing, and platform operator discretion. Matches in major Latin American leagues typically attract supplementary markets—such as exact score, first goalscorer, or card-related outcomes—when sufficient user demand and liquidity justify the operational overhead. The 45% reading suggests traders are pricing in meaningful uncertainty about whether this LFPB encounter will receive such treatment, potentially reflecting the league's lower global profile relative to European competitions.
Key catalysts include official LFPB scheduling confirmations, Polymarket's internal market-creation decisions, and any late-stage fixture changes. Traders should monitor whether either club experiences injury announcements or squad rotation news in the days preceding the match, as such developments sometimes influence platform operators' decisions to expand market coverage. The settlement window closing on 31 May at 21:15 UTC provides a defined endpoint for resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Club The Strongest vs. Club Bolívar - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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