Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club The Strongest and Club Aurora, scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club The Strongest vs. Club Aurora match originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Club The Strongest will face Club Aurora in a Bolivian LFPB league match on 20 June 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome settling as "Any Other Score." The 48% implied probability for a YES resolution reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, indicating traders assess roughly even odds that the match will conclude with one of the explicitly listed scorelines rather than an alternative result.
The Strongest have historically dominated Bolivian football, winning multiple national titles, whilst Aurora competes at a lower tier within the domestic structure. This asymmetry typically produces predictable scorelines—either a comfortable Strongest victory or a narrow margin—rather than unusual results. Historical LFPB matches between sides of differing quality tend to cluster around 2–0, 1–0, or 2–1 outcomes, which would explain why roughly half of all possible exact scores are concentrated in the listed options rather than distributed across the "Any Other Score" category.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions as the fixture falls late in the Bolivian season. Fixture congestion and weather conditions in La Paz—where The Strongest are based at high altitude—can affect match tempo and scoring patterns. Recent LFPB standings and form sheets will clarify whether Aurora enters as a genuine challenger or a relegation-battling side, a distinction that materially shifts the probability distribution across scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Club The Strongest vs. Club Aurora - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $113 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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