Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Sunday, May 31, 2026 between CDOriente Petrolero and Club Blooming.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CDOriente Petrolero | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Draw (CDOriente Petrolero vs. Club Blooming) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Club Blooming | 45% YES | 56% NO |
CDOriente Petrolero will face Club Blooming in a Bolivia LFPB fixture on Sunday, 31 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a CDOriente victory at 47%, implying near-parity with the alternative outcomes (draw or Blooming win combined at 53%). This probability reflects modest backing for the home side, though the split between draw and away win remains unresolved in the current market depth.
Historically, CDOriente Petrolero and Club Blooming have traded relatively evenly in head-to-head records within Bolivia's top division. CDOriente, based in Santa Cruz, holds a slight structural advantage in home matches but lacks the consistent title-contention record of some rivals. Blooming, also Santa Cruz-based, has shown competitive form in recent seasons. The 47% mark suggests traders view this as a competitive encounter without a clear favourite, consistent with their recent parity in league standings and fixture outcomes.
Key variables for traders include team news on injuries or suspensions, which typically emerge in the week preceding the match, and the final league standings context—whether either side is chasing promotion or fighting relegation by late May. Recent fixture congestion in the Bolivian calendar could affect squad rotation decisions. Settlement occurs at 23:30 UTC on 31 May, allowing for full-time results and any official corrections. Monitor official LFPB announcements for fixture confirmation and any scheduling changes that might affect team preparation or player availability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CDOriente Petrolero vs. Club Blooming" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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