Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Eintracht Braunschweig and SG Dynamo Dresden.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SG Dynamo Dresden | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Eintracht Braunschweig will host SG Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The match represents a standard league fixture in Germany's second tier, with settlement occurring at 11:00 UTC on the scheduled date. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating either extreme confidence in the event's occurrence or minimal liquidity at the current price, which typically occurs when traders perceive negligible counterparty risk that the fixture will proceed as scheduled.
Historical precedent suggests that 2. Bundesliga matches rarely fail to occur once officially scheduled. League fixtures are typically cancelled only under exceptional circumstances—severe weather, administrative sanctions, or force majeure events—which remain statistically uncommon. The 100% probability reading aligns with how prediction markets typically price routine sporting events with confirmed dates and venues, where the primary settlement risk centres on technical or administrative disruption rather than genuine uncertainty about whether the match takes place.
Traders should monitor official DFL (Deutsche Fußball Liga) communications and both clubs' injury reports as the fixture approaches, though these factors primarily affect match outcome rather than occurrence. Weather forecasts for Braunschweig on 9 May and any late-stage fixture rescheduling announcements would represent material catalysts. The settlement window's closure at 11:00 UTC provides a defined endpoint; any postponement announced before this time would typically trigger market resolution procedures outlined in Polymarket's terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SG Dynamo Dresden" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$165K in lifetime turnover and $904K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $165K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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