Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Greek Basketball League game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:15AM ET: If the PAOK win, the market will resolve to "PAOK". If the Maroussi win, the market will resolve to "Maroussi". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| PAOK vs. Maroussi | 100% YES | 0% NO |
PAOK and Maroussi will contest a Greek Basketball League fixture on 25 April at 11:15 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for PAOK victory across Polymarket's order book, indicating either exceptionally strong conviction in the home side or minimal liquidity at present price levels. Settlement occurs on 2 May, with provisions for postponement extending the resolution window and cancellation triggering a 50-50 split.
The Greek Basketball League operates within a relatively predictable competitive structure, though PAOK's current standing and recent form require scrutiny. Historical matchups between these clubs provide baseline context for assessing whether the current probability reflects genuine performance differentials or market inefficiency. Maroussi, as a traditional Athens-based competitor, has demonstrated capacity to compete against provincial rivals, though recent seasons have seen variable results. The extreme probability reading warrants examination of whether this reflects PAOK's documented strength or simply reflects sparse order book depth at current price.
Key variables include team roster availability, injury reports, and any late scheduling changes. Recent Greek league fixtures have occasionally experienced postponements due to administrative or security considerations. Traders should monitor official league announcements through the Hellenic Basketball Federation in the week preceding the match. PAOK's home-court advantage at their Thessaloniki venue historically favours the side, though Maroussi's travel logistics and current season trajectory merit consideration. Any significant roster changes or coaching decisions announced between now and match day could shift the underlying probability materially.
Maroussia Paré is a French sprinter. She competed in the 4 × 100 metres relay event at the 2015 World Championships in Athletics in Beijing, China.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.esake.gr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "PAOK vs. Maroussi" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$845 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.esake.gr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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