Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET: If the Nanterre win, the market will resolve to "Nanterre". If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Nanterre vs. Cholet | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Nanterre and Cholet will contest a Pro A basketball match on 16 May at 1:00 PM ET, with settlement determined by the final score including any overtime. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view this fixture as genuinely competitive with neither side commanding clear advantage at present pricing.
Both clubs occupy mid-table positions in the French Pro A standings, though their recent form trajectories differ. Nanterre has shown inconsistency through the spring campaign, whilst Cholet has demonstrated steadier performance in recent weeks. Historical matchups between these sides have typically been close affairs, with home-court advantage proving marginal. The 50% implied probability aligns with comparable fixtures between evenly-matched Pro A sides where neither team possesses a decisive edge in personnel or current momentum.
Traders should monitor team news through the settlement window, particularly injury status for key rotation players. Nanterre's availability of their primary ball-handler and Cholet's frontcourt depth will materially affect match dynamics. Fixture scheduling remains the primary dependency—any postponement would extend the market open until completion, whilst outright cancellation without rescheduling would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. The settlement deadline of 23 May provides a one-week buffer beyond the scheduled match date, accommodating potential fixture shifts common in European basketball calendars during the end-of-season period.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Nanterre vs. Cholet" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $166 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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