Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET: If the Nancy win, the market will resolve to "Nancy". If the Saint-Quentin win, the market will resolve to "Saint-Quentin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Nancy vs. Saint-Quentin | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Nancy and Saint-Quentin face off in a Pro A basketball match on 16 May at 1:00 PM ET, with settlement determined by the final score including any overtime. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50–50 split, indicating traders see genuine uncertainty between the two sides. This equilibrium probability suggests neither team carries a decisive advantage in the eyes of active market participants, though the settlement window extends to 23 May to accommodate any postponements.
Pro A fixtures between mid-tier French clubs typically exhibit tight margins, particularly in playoff or late-season contexts where both teams have defined competitive stakes. Historical matchups between Nancy and Saint-Quentin show competitive balance, with neither franchise establishing consistent dominance. The 50–50 implied probability aligns with comparable fixtures where team form, injury status, and home-court advantage offset one another, leaving outcomes genuinely contingent on match-day execution rather than structural superiority.
Traders should monitor roster updates and injury announcements in the days preceding 16 May, as absences of key players can shift win probability materially. Venue confirmation and any weather-related scheduling pressures remain relevant given the fixture's spring timing. Recent Pro A standings and current form sheets will clarify whether either team enters with momentum or fatigue from prior fixtures. The postponement clause means the market remains live if the match does not occur on schedule, extending the trading window and potentially allowing new information to reshape the probability distribution before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Nancy vs. Saint-Quentin" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $166 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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