Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 7 at 2:50PM ET: If the Limoges win, the market will resolve to "Limoges". If the Boulazac win, the market will resolve to "Boulazac". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Limoges vs. Boulazac | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Limoges and Boulazac will meet in a Pro A basketball fixture on 7 May at 14:50 ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing in certainty for one outcome, though the settlement window extends to 14 May to accommodate potential postponements. This extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny given that Pro A matches occasionally face scheduling disruptions due to venue conflicts or administrative issues.
Historical context suggests that French Pro A fixtures rarely cancel outright, though postponements occur roughly 2–3 times per season. When matches do proceed as scheduled, outcomes typically reflect relative league standings and recent form rather than binary certainty. Limoges and Boulazac occupy mid-table positions in the current standings, making a decisive favourite status unusual absent specific team news. The 100% reading likely reflects either thin liquidity on the order book or a technical artefact rather than genuine trader consensus.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of both squads' availability in the days preceding the match, any announcements regarding venue access, and injury updates for key players. Traders should monitor Pro A's official fixture list and team social media channels for withdrawal notices. The settlement window's extension to 14 May provides a buffer for rescheduling, but cancellation without a make-up game—triggering a 50-50 resolution—remains a low-probability tail risk. Current depth on the order book will clarify whether the 100% reading reflects genuine conviction or merely sparse trading activity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Limoges vs. Boulazac" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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