Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET: If the Boulazac win, the market will resolve to "Boulazac". If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to "Monaco". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Boulazac vs. Monaco | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Boulazac and Monaco will face off in a Pro A basketball fixture scheduled for 16 May at 1:00 PM ET, with the settlement window closing on 23 May. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split between the two outcomes, suggesting traders view this matchup as genuinely competitive with no clear favourite emerging from recent positioning or available information.
Historical matchups between these two clubs provide context for interpreting the current probability. Monaco has generally held stronger league standing in recent seasons, though Boulazac has demonstrated capacity to compete against top-tier opposition in the French Pro A. The 50-50 implied probability indicates the market is pricing in either a statistical dead heat or genuine uncertainty about team form, injuries, or recent performance trajectories heading into May. Without recent public injury announcements or significant roster changes, the equal weighting suggests traders lack decisive information to shift conviction either direction.
Traders monitoring this market should track official Pro A communications regarding team availability and any last-minute roster updates in the week preceding the fixture. Fixture congestion and fatigue from earlier playoff rounds could materially affect performance, particularly if either side has played demanding matches immediately prior. The settlement window extends a week beyond the scheduled date to accommodate potential postponements, though outright cancellation remains unlikely given Pro A scheduling protocols. Monitor official league channels and team announcements for any developments affecting participation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Boulazac vs. Monaco" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $166 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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