Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for June 1 at 1:00PM ET: If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the Anadolu Efes win, the market will resolve to "Anadolu Efes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Fenerbahçe and Anadolu Efes will contest a Turkish Basketball Super League match on 1 June at 1:00 PM ET. The market currently shows 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either a heavily skewed trader conviction or minimal liquidity depth at current prices. Settlement occurs on 8 June at 17:00 UTC, allowing a week for official confirmation of the final score including any overtime periods. The resolution framework includes provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without rescheduling (50-50 split).
These two clubs represent the dominant forces in Turkish basketball, having combined for the majority of BSL titles in recent decades. Historical head-to-head records show competitive matchups with neither side commanding overwhelming statistical superiority. The current 100% probability suggests either exceptional confidence in one team's form entering June, or that the market has insufficient participation to establish a genuine price discovery mechanism. Traders should assess whether this extreme probability reflects genuine information about team composition, injury status, or recent performance, or whether it indicates thin order-book depth.
Key variables include confirmation of squad availability closer to the fixture date, any mid-season roster changes announced by either club, and the competitive context—whether this match carries playoff implications or occurs during a less consequential period. Recent Turkish basketball news sources should be monitored for injury updates or coaching changes that could shift the underlying probability substantially from current levels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.tbl.org.tr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$53K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.tbl.org.tr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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