Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Jung/Uesugi and Nagal/Trungelliti in the Heilbronn, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jung/Uesugi' if the team of Jung/Uesugi advances against Nagal/Trungelliti. This market will resolve to 'Nagal/Trungelliti' if the team of Nagal/Trungelliti advances against Jung/Uesugi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Heilbronn (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Nagal/Trungelliti | 50% YES | 50% NO |
A doubles tennis match between Jung/Uesugi and Nagal/Trungelliti is scheduled for the Heilbronn tournament on 2 June 2026. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for Jung/Uesugi's advancement, reflecting the order book on Polymarket where no traders have positioned for that outcome at any price. This extreme skew typically emerges when one pairing carries substantially stronger recent form or ranking credentials, or when information asymmetries favour one side heavily amongst active market participants.
Doubles pairings at ATP 250 level tournaments like Heilbronn often feature volatile matchups where seeding and recent partnership chemistry matter considerably. Historical precedent suggests that when markets price a pairing at or near zero probability, the underlying factors usually involve significant ranking disparities, injury concerns, or one team's recent tournament success. Nagal, an Indian player ranked in the ATP singles top 100, typically partners with established doubles specialists; Trungelliti is an Argentine with limited recent doubles activity at this level. Jung and Uesugi's pairing would need comparable or superior recent doubles credentials to justify meaningful probability against such pricing.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and any late withdrawals or substitutions, which remain possible until match day. Confirmation of both teams' participation and any last-minute ranking or fitness updates could shift the order book substantially. The settlement window closes 9 June 2026, allowing seven days for the match to complete; delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk for either side.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Heilbronn (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Nagal/Trungelliti" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$208 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $208 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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