Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for June 1 at 7:00PM ET: If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto Marlies | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The American Hockey League matchup between Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins and Toronto Marlies is scheduled for 1 June at 7:00 PM ET. This game falls within the AHL playoff window, where both teams compete for advancement. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for a Penguins victory on Polymarket's order book, indicating either extremely lopsided positioning or minimal liquidity at current price levels. Such extreme probabilities in sports markets typically signal either a data error, a liquidity desert, or genuine consensus that one outcome is overwhelmingly favoured.
AHL playoff matchups between established franchises rarely settle at such extreme probabilities unless one team holds a decisive competitive advantage. Historical comparable cases—including previous Penguins-Marlies encounters and broader AHL playoff dynamics—suggest that even heavily favoured teams retain meaningful upset risk. The Marlies, as the Toronto Maple Leafs' primary affiliate, maintain competitive depth and playoff experience. Current market pricing at 100% leaves no room for variance, which is atypical for single-game sports events where injury reports, lineup changes, and goaltender performance introduce material uncertainty.
Traders should monitor official AHL announcements regarding roster availability, any coaching changes, or schedule confirmations through 31 May. Recent playoff injury updates or roster moves could shift the underlying competitive balance. The settlement window closes 1 June at 23:00 ET, allowing only the game window itself for resolution. Any postponement would extend the market open; cancellation without a make-up game triggers a 50-50 split. Current pricing warrants scrutiny given the absence of typical single-game volatility.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto Marlies" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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