Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Sagiv Yehezkel | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Milan Škriniar | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| player D | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| player H | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| player L | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Other | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Igor Jesus | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The 2025-26 UEFA Europa League will run from August 2025 through May 2026, with 213 clubs competing across qualifying rounds and the group stage before knockout phases determine a champion. The market seeks to identify which player accumulates the most yellow cards across all tournament matches. The settlement window closes 21 May 2026, allowing for the final match and any official UEFA determinations of the yellow card leader.
Historical patterns in European cup competitions show that defensive midfielders and full-backs typically lead yellow card tallies, given their positional exposure to fouls and tactical fouling. Players like Sergio Busquets and Nemanja Matić have regularly featured among Europa League's most-cautioned competitors. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either minimal liquidity in the market's early formation or that traders are awaiting clearer squad information and fixture scheduling before pricing individual player performances. The probability will likely shift once group stage draws occur and player rosters are finalised.
Key catalysts include the official 2025-26 Europa League draw, scheduled for late June 2025, which will establish group compositions and match schedules. Injury announcements and managerial changes at major clubs will influence which players feature consistently. Traders should monitor UEFA's disciplinary records and any rule changes affecting cautions. The market's resolution depends entirely on UEFA's official statistics, making the competition's completion and timely publication of final standings critical dependencies through the May 2026 deadline.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "UEFA Europa League: Most Yellow Cards" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $144 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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