Soccer

Trade: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay, scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay match originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$2K
Total Volume
$33
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$35
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Exact Score: 1-0 6% YES95% NO
Exact Score: 1-1 8% YES92% NO
Exact Score: 0-3 7% YES93% NO
Exact Score: 2-1 5% YES95% NO
Exact Score: 1-3 6% YES94% NO
Exact Score: 3-1 4% YES96% NO
Exact Score: 3-2 4% YES96% NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score 11% YES89% NO

Market context

Saudi Arabia and Uruguay will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 15 June at 6:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. The current 6% implied probability reflects the combined likelihood of all explicitly listed scorelines, with any result not pre-specified resolving to "Any Other Score."

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in football typically concentrate probability across a narrow range of outcomes. Uruguay's recent form and squad depth—they qualified for Qatar 2022 and maintain competitive standing in CONMEBOL—position them as likely favourites against Saudi Arabia, whose qualifying campaign was less demanding. The 6% probability currently priced on Polymarket's order book likely reflects the compounded improbability of any single exact scoreline, given that even favoured outcomes in football rarely exceed 15–20% likelihood individually. Uruguay's last competitive meeting with Saudi Arabia occurred in 2018 World Cup qualifying, where they won 3–0.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports from both federations as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding key attacking and defensive personnel. The 2026 World Cup format—expanded to 48 teams with 16 three-team groups—means both sides will be competing for knockout qualification, potentially influencing tactical approach. Recent FIFA rankings and warm-up match results in May 2026 will provide updated form indicators closer to settlement.

Wikipedia Context

  • Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia

    Saudi Arabia, officially the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), is a country in West Asia. Located in the centre of the Middle East, it covers the bulk of the Arabian Peninsula and has a land area of about 2,150,000 km2 (830,000 sq mi), making it the fifth-largest country in Asia, the largest in the Middle East, and the twelfth-largest in the world. It is border

  • Saudi Arabia national football team
    Saudi Arabia national football team

    The Saudi Arabia national football team represents Saudi Arabia in men's international football. They are known as Al-Suqour Al-Arabiyyah and sometimes Al-Suqour Al-Khodhur, a reference to their traditional colors of green and white, and represent both FIFA and the Asian Football Confederation (AFC).

  • Saudi Arabia–United States relations
    Saudi Arabia–United States relations

    Bilateral relations between Saudi Arabia and the United States began in 1933 when full diplomatic relations were established. These relations were formalized under the 1951 Mutual Defense Assistance Agreement. Despite the differences between the two countries—an Islamic absolute monarchy versus a secular constitutional republic—the two countries have been al

  • Saudi Arabian Armed Forces
    Saudi Arabian Armed Forces

    The Saudi Arabian Armed Forces (SAAF), also known as the Royal Saudi Armed Forces, is part of the military forces of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It consists of the Royal Saudi Army, the Royal Saudi Navy, the Royal Saudi Air Force, the Royal Saudi Air Defense, and the Royal Saudi Strategic Missile Force. The King of Saudi Arabia is the Supreme Commander-in-C

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$33 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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