Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2025-26 English Premier League. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 English Premier League (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Arsenal | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Newcastle United | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Nottingham Forest | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Wolves | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sunderland | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Brentford | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bournemouth | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The 2025–26 English Premier League season will determine which club finishes 17th, occupying the final automatic relegation spot. Polymarket's order book currently reflects a 0% implied probability for the listed team to occupy that position at season's end on 31 May 2026, suggesting traders assess the team's survival odds as either negligible or the market lacks sufficient liquidity to price meaningful uncertainty.
Historically, 17th-place finishes correlate with teams that experience mid-season collapses or enter the campaign with structural weaknesses. Clubs finishing 17th typically accumulate 34–38 points across 38 matches, a threshold that separates survival from the Championship. The current zero probability indicates either the listed team has demonstrated sufficient squad depth and managerial stability to rule out such a scenario, or the market has simply not yet attracted sufficient trading activity to establish a price floor above zero.
Traders monitoring this market should track squad composition changes during the January transfer window, managerial stability, and fixture congestion in the run-in. Injury crises to key players, managerial sackings, or unexpected loss of form in the final months remain the primary catalysts that could shift probabilities materially. The market will remain sensitive to mid-table teams' performances—if competitors around the 17th position strengthen significantly or if the listed team's results deteriorate sharply after Christmas, order book depth may increase and implied probabilities shift accordingly.
The EMLL 17th Anniversary Show was a professional wrestling major show event produced by Empresa Mexicana de Lucha Libre (EMLL) that took place on September 21, 1950, in Arena Modelo, Mexico City, Mexico. The event commemorated the 17th anniversary of EMLL, which would become the oldest professional wrestling promotion in the world. The Anniversary show is E
The EMLL 7th Anniversary Show was a professional wrestling major show event produced by Empresa Mexicana de Lucha Libre that took place on September 12, 1940, in Arena Modelo, in Mexico City, Mexico. The event commemorated the seventh anniversary of EMLL, which would become the oldest still active professional wrestling promotion in the world. The Anniversar
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "EPL: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor)" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $560 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for soccer contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: