Trade: WNBA: Three Point Percentage Leader
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2026 WNBA regular season with the highest three point percentage of any qualified player. In the event of a tie for the highest three point percentage, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Qualification for inclusion in official WNBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to WNBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $616
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| Sarah Ashlee Barker | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Hailey Van Lith | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Lexie Brown | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Jovana Nogic | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Chelsea Gray | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Player A | — | |
| Player H | — | |
| Player J | — | |
Market context
The 2026 WNBA regular season will determine which player finishes with the highest three-point shooting percentage among qualified competitors. The market currently prices this outcome at 13% YES, reflecting the dispersed nature of elite three-point shooting across the league's roster. Settlement occurs at the close of the regular season on 24 September 2026, with tiebreakers favouring players with greater game appearances, then alphabetical ordering of surnames.
Historical WNBA three-point percentage leaders have typically emerged from established perimeter players rather than surprise performers. Between 2020 and 2024, the annual leaders ranged from 38% to 42%, with qualification thresholds typically requiring 40+ three-point attempts across a season. The current 13% probability suggests the market anticipates a relatively concentrated field of contenders, with no single player commanding overwhelming odds. This reflects the competitive nature of elite shooting in the WNBA, where several players routinely operate above 35% from distance.
Traders should monitor roster movements during the 2026 off-season, particularly signings of known three-point specialists and trades affecting team spacing. Injury reports throughout the season will prove material, as reduced playing time can disqualify otherwise elite shooters from reaching minimum attempt thresholds. The WNBA's official statistical releases and leaderboard updates, published regularly through the season, will clarify qualification status. Polymarket's order book currently reflects modest liquidity at the 13% mark, indicating limited consensus on which player will lead the category by season's end.
Wikipedia Context
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List of WNBA career scoring leadersThis article contains two charts: The first chart is a list of the top 50 all-time scorers in the history of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA). The list includes only points scored in regular season games. The second chart is a progressive list of the leading all-time WNBA scorers. Diana Taurasi is the all-time leading scorer in WNBA history
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List of WNBA career rebounding leadersThe following is a list of the players who have collected the most rebounds during their WNBA careers.Statistics accurate as of the 2025 season.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "WNBA: Three Point Percentage Leader" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $616 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for rewards 50 4pt5 20 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "WNBA: Three Point Percentage Leader"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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