Trade: WNBA: Steals Per Game Leader
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2026 WNBA regular season with the highest steals per game average of any qualified player. In the event of a tie for the highest steals per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Qualification for inclusion in official WNBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to WNBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $704
- Total Volume
- $14
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $14
Market outcomes
| Jordin Canada | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| Rhyne Howard | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| Alyssa Thomas | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Courtney Williams | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Jacy Sheldon | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Sonia Citron | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Chennedy Carter | 3% YES | 98% NO |
| Kayla McBride | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
The 2026 WNBA regular season will determine which player finishes with the highest steals per game average among qualified competitors. The market currently prices a 25% probability for the affirmative outcome, reflecting uncertainty around which individual will lead the league in this defensive metric across the full season. Settlement depends on official WNBA leaderboard qualification standards, with tiebreaker protocols favouring games played, then alphabetical ordering of surnames.
Steals per game leadership has historically concentrated among elite perimeter defenders, though the metric's volatility depends heavily on playing time and team defensive schemes. Players averaging above 2.0 steals per game are rare; the 2025 WNBA season saw defensive specialists like Jewell Loyd and Alyssa Thomas compete for such honours. The current 25% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests traders view the outcome as genuinely competitive rather than dominated by a single favourite, likely reflecting uncertainty about injury status, roster changes, and whether any player will sustain elite steal rates across 40 games.
Key catalysts include preseason roster announcements and early-season performance trends through the first month of play. Team defensive strategies can shift significantly year-to-year, affecting individual steal opportunities. The WNBA's 2026 schedule and any trades affecting perimeter defenders will influence which players have consistent opportunities to accumulate steals. Monitoring injury reports for known defensive leaders and tracking early statistical leaders through June will provide material information for reassessing the probability as the season progresses.
Wikipedia Context
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Women's National Basketball AssociationThe Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) is a women's professional basketball league in North America composed of 15 teams, scheduled to expand to 18 by 2030. The WNBA is one of the professional women's sports leagues in North America. The WNBA is headquartered in New York City.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "WNBA: Steals Per Game Leader" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$14 in lifetime turnover and $704 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for rewards 50 4pt5 20 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "WNBA: Steals Per Game Leader"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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