Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the winner of BLAST Slam VII, currently scheduled for May 26th - June 7th, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BLAST (https://blast.tv/dota/tournaments/blast-slam-vii).
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the NO side at 25%, making this a directional market with 10 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $2K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Team Liquid | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| GLYPH | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| Other | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| LGD Gaming | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| BetBoom Team | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Tundra Esports | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Team Falcons | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| Team Spirit | 23% YES | 78% NO |
BLAST Slam VII is a Dota 2 esports tournament scheduled for late May through early June 2026, with the winner to be determined by the official BLAST tournament organiser. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 25% implied probability for a YES resolution, suggesting the market participants assess meaningful uncertainty around which team will claim victory. This probability has been formed through trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating the level of conviction among traders positioned on either side.
Historical Dota 2 major tournaments demonstrate that outcomes remain genuinely competitive across the top-tier circuit. BLAST's previous Slam events have featured unpredictable results, with regional qualifiers and meta shifts frequently disrupting pre-tournament favourites. The 25% probability suggests traders are pricing in either a specific team as the marginal favourite or distributing probability across multiple contenders with roughly equal chances. Without confirmed team rosters or seeding information publicly available this far in advance, the market is likely reflecting base rates from comparable BLAST events rather than specific intelligence about participating squads.
Key catalysts for traders include official team roster announcements, which typically occur 4–8 weeks before major tournaments and can substantially shift market expectations. The tournament's scheduled dates (26 May–7 June 2026) are firm, though any postponement beyond 21 June would trigger an "Other" resolution. Monitoring BLAST's official channels and esports news outlets for qualifier results, roster changes, and meta-defining patch releases will provide material information for reassessing the current probability before settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
For this market, the resolution date is 7 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. This particular market has no public resolution feed listed; disputes here are more likely if the underlying outcome is subject to interpretation, in which case the UMA token-vote arbitrates the wording of the original market question.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "BLAST Slam VII: Winner", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($2K of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "BLAST Slam VII: Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$390 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for rewards 200 4pt5 20 contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $390 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "BLAST Slam VII: Winner", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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