Trade: Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for May 24 at 11:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $4K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| AFC Bournemouth (-2.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
Market context
Nottingham Forest and AFC Bournemouth will meet on 24 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing the "More Markets" outcome at 32% implied probability, reflecting how traders are valuing the proposition across the available liquidity today.
Historical precedent suggests late-season Premier League fixtures between mid-table sides carry substantial uncertainty around team selection and tactical approach. Both clubs' final league position, European qualification status, and injury profiles by late May will shape how aggressively either side contests the match. Previous seasons show that teams already secured in their finishing position sometimes rotate heavily, whilst those fighting for European places or battling relegation deploy full-strength lineups. The 32% current probability reflects baseline expectations, but this figure will shift materially once final standings become clearer in the weeks preceding the match.
Key catalysts for traders include confirmed team news, injury updates released closer to the fixture date, and the resolution of other Premier League matches that determine final standings. Weather conditions at the City Ground and any last-minute squad changes announced on match day will also influence outcomes. The settlement window closes at 15:00 GMT on 24 May, giving traders a narrow window to adjust positions based on pre-match information released that morning.
Wikipedia Context
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Nottingham Forest F.C.Nottingham Forest Football Club is a professional football club based in West Bridgford, Nottinghamshire, England. The club competes in the Premier League, the top tier of English football.
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Nottingham Forest W.F.C.
Nottingham Forest Women is an English women's association football club affiliated with Nottingham Forest Football Club. Nottingham Forest Women are members of the Women's Super League 2, which stands at level two of the women's football league pyramid.
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Nottingham Forest F.C. Under-21s and Academy
Nottingham Forest F.C. Under 21s or Nottingham Forest F.C. B Team are the reserve team of Nottingham Forest. The team mainly consists of Under-21 players at the club, although senior players occasionally play in the reserve side, for instance when they are recovering from injury. The B team is coached by Warren Joyce.
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Nottingham Forest F.C. 1–8 Manchester United F.C.The 1998–99 season match between Nottingham Forest and Manchester United at the City Ground took place on 6 February 1999. Manchester United won the match 8–1, thereby recording the largest away win in the history of the Premier League until Leicester City's 9–0 victory at Southampton 20 years later. Substitute Ole Gunnar Solskjær scored four of Manchester U
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for premier league contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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