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Macro geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

57% YES 43% NO

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include co…

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Market Outcomes

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? 57% YES43% NO
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