Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 is scheduled to premiere on March 12, 2026 on Netflix. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person featured in Love Is Blind: Sweden: Season 3 becomes engaged to another participant. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If a listed participant leaves the named show or it is otherwise no longer possible for them to become engaged during the relevant season of this show, this market will resolve to "No". If the finale is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the show is officially cancelled, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official Netflix footage of the show.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Affe | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Angelica | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Aron | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Haitham | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Ida | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Joel | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Lars-Erik | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Agnes | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Netflix's Swedish adaptation of Love is Blind will premiere on 12 March 2026, with participants entering pods unable to see one another before deciding whether to pursue engagement. The show's format requires couples to navigate the experiment through subsequent stages—moving in together, meeting families, and ultimately deciding at the altar whether to marry or leave. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 44% implied probability that a specified participant becomes engaged during the season, suggesting the crowd perceives meaningful uncertainty around whether this individual will reach engagement stage.
Historical data from Love is Blind franchises across multiple territories shows engagement rates typically range between 40–60% of participants, though outcomes vary significantly by regional casting and production choices. The original US series saw roughly half of participants become engaged, whilst international versions have produced different distributions. Sweden's first two seasons provide direct precedent for how Swedish participants respond to the experiment's emotional and logistical demands, offering traders a regional baseline for assessing individual likelihood.
Key catalysts include the premiere date itself on 12 March, which will reveal participant identities, personalities, and early pod dynamics that may shift market pricing substantially. The finale must air by 30 June 2026 for the market to resolve; any cancellation or significant production delays would trigger a "No" resolution. Traders should monitor Netflix's promotional materials and any participant withdrawals announced before or during filming, as departures automatically resolve affected positions to "No" regardless of engagement status.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Who will get engaged in Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$154K in lifetime turnover and $583 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for love is blind contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $133K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 26 March 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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