Liga endesa

Trade: Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona

100% YES 0% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET: If the Gran Canaria win, the market will resolve to "Gran Canaria". If the Basquet Girona win, the market will resolve to "Basquet Girona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
—
Total Volume
$4K
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$3K
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Market outcomes

Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona 100% YES0% NO

Market context

Gran Canaria will face Basquet Girona in a Liga Endesa fixture on 25 April at 2:00PM ET, with the settlement window closing on 2 May. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Gran Canaria, indicating that traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme probability typically emerges when one side commands substantial backing or when the underlying matchup is perceived as heavily skewed, though such pricing warrants scrutiny given the binary nature of basketball outcomes.

Historical context for Liga Endesa matchups at this probability level suggests either significant disparity in team form, injury status, or late-season positioning. Gran Canaria and Basquet Girona occupy different tiers within the Spanish league structure, with Gran Canaria generally maintaining stronger competitive standing. However, 100% probabilities in basketball markets are rare and typically reflect either thin liquidity on the order book or a specific catalyst that has moved traders decisively. The settlement mechanism includes provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (resolves 50-50), which traders should monitor given the late April timing.

Key variables to track include team injury reports in the days preceding the match, any official postponement announcements from Liga Endesa, and late movement in the order book that might signal new information. The extreme probability pricing leaves minimal room for value on either side unless new information emerges regarding player availability or fixture status. Traders should verify current roster status and any recent league communications before committing capital.

Wikipedia Context

  • Gran Canaria
    Gran Canaria

    Gran Canaria, also Grand Canary Island, is the third-largest and second-most-populous island of the Canary Islands, a Spanish archipelago off the Atlantic coast of Northwest Africa. As of 2023 the island had a population of 862,893 that constitutes approximately 40% of the population of the archipelago. Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, the capital of the island,

  • Gran Canaria Airport
    Gran Canaria Airport

    Gran Canaria Airport is a passenger and freight airport on the island of Gran Canaria, Spain. It is owned and managed by a public enterprise, AENA, and it holds the sixth position in terms of passengers, and fifth in terms of operations and cargo transported. It also ranks first of the Canary Islands in all three categories, although the island of Tenerife h

  • Gran Canaria (Parliament of the Canary Islands constituency)
    Gran Canaria (Parliament of the Canary Islands constituency)

    Gran Canaria is one of the seven constituencies represented in the Parliament of the Canary Islands, the regional legislature of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. The constituency currently elects 15 deputies. Its boundaries correspond to those of the island of Gran Canaria. The electoral system uses the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportio

  • Gran Canaria (Senate constituency)
    Gran Canaria (Senate constituency)

    Gran Canaria is one of the 59 constituencies represented in the Senate of Spain, the upper chamber of the Spanish parliament, the Cortes Generales. The constituency elects three senators. Its boundaries correspond to those of the island of Gran Canaria. The electoral system uses open list partial block voting, with electors voting for individual candidates i

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.acb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 100% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $100 if YES resolves true — a 0% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for liga endesa contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.acb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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