Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between ZeroZone Gaming and Dream Esports in the LPLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 15 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ZeroZone Gaming" if ZeroZone Gaming win the match against Dream Esports. This market will resolve to "Dream Esports" if Dream Esports win the match against ZeroZone Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
ZeroZone Gaming and Dream Esports are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one League of Legends match within the LPLOL Regular Season on 15 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices ZeroZone Gaming's victory at 38%, implying Dream Esports holds a 62% implied probability. This pricing reflects market participants' assessment of both teams' recent form, roster composition, and head-to-head record as of the settlement window opening.
The 38% probability for ZeroZone Gaming suggests the market views them as the underdog in this fixture. Historical context matters here: LPLOL regular season matches between mid-table teams often exhibit tighter outcomes than their seeding implies, particularly in best-of-one formats where variance increases. Teams ranked similarly in win-loss records frequently trade victories across the season, meaning the current probability may reflect Dream Esports' marginally superior recent performance rather than a decisive skill gap.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and player availability in the days preceding 15 May, as last-minute substitutions or injury disclosures can shift match expectations substantially. Schedule adherence is critical given the settlement terms: any delay exceeding seven days without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent LPL scheduling has remained reliable, though technical issues during broadcasts have occasionally required replays. The tight settlement window (ending 16 May at 00:00 UTC) means any postponement would likely force resolution at the tie probability rather than await rescheduling.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rtparenalol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for league of legends contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rtparenalol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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