Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the YES side at 74%, making this a directional market resolving today, backed by $536K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 74% YES | 27% NO |
| Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5) | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Team Liquid face Shopify Rebellion in a lower bracket quarterfinal best-of-five match within the 2026 LCS Playoffs, scheduled for 31 May at 4:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Team Liquid at 73% implied probability, reflecting their status as the favoured side. Settlement occurs by 1 June 02:00 UTC, with resolution contingent on match completion within seven days of the scheduled date.
Team Liquid's positioning at 73% reflects their historical standing within LCS competition and roster construction relative to Shopify Rebellion, a franchise with considerably fewer playoff appearances and domestic titles. Comparable lower bracket matchups involving established organisations versus emerging challengers typically settle within the 65–80% range for the established side, depending on recent form and meta alignment. The 73% mark suggests the market views this as moderately favourable but not a foregone conclusion, consistent with lower bracket volatility where seeding disadvantages can be offset by momentum or meta-specific strengths.
Traders should monitor roster availability and any last-minute schedule adjustments through official LCS communications, particularly given the compressed playoff window. Recent LCS broadcasts have highlighted meta shifts favouring specific champion pools and early-game execution, both areas where team preparation depth matters considerably. Any roster changes, coaching announcements, or scrim results leaked in the days preceding 31 May could shift the order book materially. The settlement window's tight closure at 02:00 UTC on 1 June leaves minimal buffer for extended series, making match-day scheduling adherence a practical consideration for position management.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LCS. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 1 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/LCS), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($536K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$98K in lifetime turnover and $536K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for league of legends contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $98K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LCS. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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