Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 17 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster will contest a best-of-three match in the LCK's opening rounds on 17 May at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 70% implied probability favouring Hanwha Life, pricing KT Rolster at 30%. This probability spread reflects market participants' assessment of relative team strength heading into the 2026 LCK season.
KT Rolster have historically been one of the LCK's most consistent franchises, with multiple championship runs and deep playoff appearances. Hanwha Life Esports have shown volatility in recent seasons, with roster changes and mid-season adjustments affecting their competitive trajectory. The 70-30 split suggests the market is pricing in either a perceived roster advantage for Hanwha or recent form indicators that favour them, though the gap remains moderate enough to reflect genuine uncertainty about early-season performance.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any pre-match announcements regarding player availability or last-minute substitutions, particularly given the compressed timeline before settlement. Coaching staff changes or strategic meta shifts in the weeks preceding the match could shift the probability. The settlement window closes at 14:00 ET on 17 May, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Any delays beyond seven days without a determined winner would trigger a 50-50 resolution, introducing tail risk that the current order book may not fully price.
Lolianwala is a village of Mandi Bahauddin District in the Punjab province of Pakistan. It is located at 32°40'0N 73°34'0E at an altitude of 224 meters. Its name has been changed as "Kot Noor Shah" with reference of shrine of Syed Noor Hussain Shah.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23 in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for league of legends contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $23 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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