Trade: LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

Name: LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs — Prediction Market
Brand: PolyGram
Availability: InStock

Opened 3 June 2026 · Settles 3 June 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Deer Gaming and The Ruddy Sack in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Deer Gaming" if Deer Gaming win the match against The Ruddy Sack. This market will resolve to "The Ruddy Sack" if The Ruddy Sack win the match against Deer Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $46K
Total Volume: $15K
24h Volume: $15K
Open Interest: $14K

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Market outcomes

Game Handicap: DEER (-1.5) vs The Ruddy Sack (+1.5)	0% YES	100% NO
Game Handicap: DEER (-2.5) vs The Ruddy Sack (+2.5)	0% YES	100% NO
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	0% YES	100% NO
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	100% YES	0% NO
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	0% YES	100% NO
Any Player Quadra Kill	0% YES	100% NO
Any Player Penta Kill	0% YES	100% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

The NLC Lower Bracket Final will pit Deer Gaming against The Ruddy Sack in a best-of-five League of Legends match on 3 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the grand final, making this a high-stakes elimination fixture within the Nordic League Championship's playoff structure. Settlement occurs at 22:00 UTC on 3 June, providing a tight window for match completion and resolution.

The 1% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects substantial backing for The Ruddy Sack, suggesting market participants assess Deer Gaming as a significant underdog in this matchup. Historical NLC playoff data shows that lower bracket finals typically favour teams with stronger regular-season records and more consistent domestic performance. The current pricing likely incorporates recent head-to-head records, roster stability, and each organisation's trajectory through the playoff bracket thus far. Comparable lower-bracket elimination matches in regional European competitions have occasionally produced upsets when underdog teams execute superior macro play or exploit meta shifts.

Traders should monitor official NLC scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 3 June, particularly regarding substitutions or injury status. The match's completion within the seven-day window is critical to resolution mechanics—any cancellation, tie, or unresolved status beyond 10 June triggers a 50-50 split. Recent esports scheduling disruptions have occasionally forced rescheduling, so confirmation from the NLC's official channels closer to the fixture date will clarify whether the settlement window remains viable. Team announcements regarding preparation or strategic adjustments may also shift market expectations in the days preceding the match.

Wikipedia Context

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Lou Deprijck
Francis Jean "Lou" Deprijck was a Belgian singer and record producer. He was a major figure in the Belgian pop scene of the 1970s and 1980s, with more than 20 million copies of his compositions sold worldwide, making him one of the best selling Belgian artists. Deprijck is best known for having co-written with Yves Lacomblez and produced the 1977 Plastic Ber
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Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/nlclol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$15K in lifetime turnover and $46K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for league of legends contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.

Last 24 hours alone saw $15K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/nlclol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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